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Tag > Civic Resilience Items found 0 0 PROJECTS 0 FUTURES LITERACY 0 STORIES Topic Aufklappbarer Text ist ideal für längere Abschnittstitel und Beschreibungen. So können Personen auf alle notwendigen Informationen zugreifen, während das Layout übersichtlich bleibt. Verlinke deinen Text beliebig oder richte ein Textfeld ein, das sich per Klick vergrößert. Text hier eingeben ... RELATED TAGS Causal Layered Analysis Misinformation IPR regulation living conditions science Mobility in Culture economy migration Forecasting Decolonisation Innovation occupation wellbeing Urban Mobility housing technology Futures literacy Signal scanning Change Management governance climate Vision work health Eye of Europe Ethics community schools Social justice Doughnut Economics democracy nature Speculative design Green manufacturing trade Refugees transport living together education Fairness

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Tag > Universal health care Items found 0 0 PROJECTS 0 FUTURES LITERACY 0 STORIES Topic Aufklappbarer Text ist ideal für längere Abschnittstitel und Beschreibungen. So können Personen auf alle notwendigen Informationen zugreifen, während das Layout übersichtlich bleibt. Verlinke deinen Text beliebig oder richte ein Textfeld ein, das sich per Klick vergrößert. Text hier eingeben ... RELATED TAGS Causal Layered Analysis Misinformation Green manufacturing trade Refugees transport living together education Forecasting Civic Resilience IPR regulation living conditions science Mobility in Culture economy migration Futures literacy Decolonisation Innovation occupation wellbeing Urban Mobility housing technology Eye of Europe Signal scanning Change Management governance climate Vision work health Speculative design Ethics community schools Social justice Doughnut Economics democracy nature

Tag > Environmental conservation Items found 0 0 PROJECTS 0 FUTURES LITERACY 0 STORIES Topic Aufklappbarer Text ist ideal für längere Abschnittstitel und Beschreibungen. So können Personen auf alle notwendigen Informationen zugreifen, während das Layout übersichtlich bleibt. Verlinke deinen Text beliebig oder richte ein Textfeld ein, das sich per Klick vergrößert. Text hier eingeben ... RELATED TAGS Causal Layered Analysis Misinformation Green manufacturing trade Refugees transport living together education Forecasting Civic Resilience IPR regulation living conditions science Mobility in Culture economy migration Futures literacy Decolonisation Innovation occupation wellbeing Urban Mobility housing technology Eye of Europe Signal scanning Change Management governance climate Vision work health Speculative design Ethics community schools Social justice Doughnut Economics democracy nature

Tag > Green transition Items found 0 0 PROJECTS 0 FUTURES LITERACY 0 STORIES Topic Aufklappbarer Text ist ideal für längere Abschnittstitel und Beschreibungen. So können Personen auf alle notwendigen Informationen zugreifen, während das Layout übersichtlich bleibt. Verlinke deinen Text beliebig oder richte ein Textfeld ein, das sich per Klick vergrößert. Text hier eingeben ... RELATED TAGS Causal Layered Analysis Misinformation Green manufacturing trade Refugees transport living together education Forecasting Civic Resilience IPR regulation living conditions science Mobility in Culture economy migration Futures literacy Decolonisation Innovation occupation wellbeing Urban Mobility housing technology Eye of Europe Signal scanning Change Management governance climate Vision work health Speculative design Ethics community schools Social justice Doughnut Economics democracy nature

Tag > Freedom of movement Items found 0 0 PROJECTS 0 FUTURES LITERACY 0 STORIES Topic Aufklappbarer Text ist ideal für längere Abschnittstitel und Beschreibungen. So können Personen auf alle notwendigen Informationen zugreifen, während das Layout übersichtlich bleibt. Verlinke deinen Text beliebig oder richte ein Textfeld ein, das sich per Klick vergrößert. Text hier eingeben ... RELATED TAGS Causal Layered Analysis Misinformation Green manufacturing trade Refugees transport living together education Forecasting Civic Resilience IPR regulation living conditions science Mobility in Culture economy migration Futures literacy Decolonisation Innovation occupation wellbeing Urban Mobility housing technology Eye of Europe Signal scanning Change Management governance climate Vision work health Speculative design Ethics community schools Social justice Doughnut Economics democracy nature

THEMES > Eating (in) the Future > Eating (in) the Future This image was generated with Dream Studio AI. Inventing agriculture was one of the biggest leaps in the history of human kind. From providing growing and increasingly complex societies with food, current ​ farming practices also contribute to distribution injustices across the globe today. If we still want to rely on agriculture as the main source for our livelihoods tomorrow, we need to rethink the way we grow our food in the future. RELATED PROJECTS More Projects There are no related projects yet. Be the first one to share! Submit your project Supported by The European Commission MOVING (Mountain Valorization through Interconnectedness and Green Growth) European mountain areas play a central role in the well-being of many highly populated European regions. The big question is how these mountain areas are being impacted by climate change. The EU-funded MOVING project will build capacities and co-develop policy frameworks across Europe. It will establish new or upscaled value chains to boost resilience and sustainability of mountain areas. The first step will be to screen traditional and emerging value chains in all European mountain areas. The next step will involve in-depth assessment of vulnerability and resilience of land use, production systems and value chains in 23 mountain regions. The project will use a virtual research environment to promote online interactions amongst actors and new tools to ensure information is accessible by different audiences. Supported by The European Commission OrganicTargets4EU OrganicTargets4EU supports the Farm-to-Fork Strategy in achieving the targets of at least 25% of the EU's agricultural land under organic farming and a significant increase in organic aquaculture by 2030. Activities OrganicTargets4EU for reaching these targets and identifies key drivers and lock-ins affecting the development of organic agriculture and aquaculture in 29 countries (EU-27+CH+NO). Production and Market analysis of the identified scenarios to provide a picture of: · Where increases in organic farmland can be achieved · The socio-economic impacts of these increases at the level of primary production, value chains, and markets · The mechanisms that can drive demand for organic food Knowledge & Innovation actions to: · Identify opportunities to strengthen organic advisory services · Stimulate the exchange of scientific and practical knowledge · Increase and coordinate R&I investments in the organic sector Policy work facilitating a multi-actor policy dialogue to: · Assess the feasibility of the organic Farm-to-Fork targets · Supports the implementation of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), EU Organic Regulation, Organic Action Plan · Provide short-term policy options (policy framework up to 2027) and policy recommendations in the next policy reform (from 2028 onwards). Supported by The European Commission 4Growth project - Understanding the Market to Forecast Future Growth 4Growth will showcase the uptake of digital technologies and data through the “4Growth Visualisation Platform” that will combine powerful storytelling with advanced visualisations of the market. This 3-year Horizon Europe project, funded by the European Commission, brings together 13 partners with the aim of understanding where, how and to what extent digital technologies and data are being adopted within the agricultural and forestry sectors. The project started in January 2024 and will end in December 2026. Consortium members: 1 Wageningen University & Research, Netherlands (Coordinator) 2 EVENFLOW, Belgium (Technical Managers) 3 GEOPONIKO PANEPISTIMION ATHINON, Greece 4 FOODSCALE HUB GREECE, Greece 5 LE EUROPE LIMITED, Ireland 6 FUTURE IMPACTS, Germany 7 SIMBIOTICA SL, Spain 8 EV ILVO: EIGEN VERMOGEN VAN HET INSTITUUT VOOR LANDBOUW- EN VISSERIJONDERZOEK, Belgium 9 INSTITUTO NAVARRO DE TECNOLOGIAS E INFRAESTRUCTURAS AGROALIMENTRIAS, Spain 10 CENTRE TECHNIQUE INTERPROFESSIONNEL DES FRUITS ET LEGUMES, France 11 TEKNOLOGIAN TUTKIMUSKESKUS VTT OY, Finland 12 AgriFood Lithuania DIH, Lithuania 13 ARISTOTELIO PANEPISTIMIO THESSALONIKIS, Greece Supported by The European Commission Reimagining the Food System: scanning the horizon for emerging social innovations Food systems require urgent and profound transformation to become sustainable, both in Europe and worldwide. Social innovation plays a pivotal role in transforming today’s food systems into ones that are economically and socially feasible, and sustainable within planetary boundaries. The project Reimagining the Food System: scanning the horizon for emerging social innovations was conducted between July - December 2021, on behalf of the European Environment Agency. It engaged in a systemic examination of emerging social innovations across the food chain, conducted using horizon scanning, a tool to detect early signs of potentially important developments. Thus, it offers insights into the experimentation taking place in alternative ways to produce, trade and consume food. Project phases: The horizon-scanning combined web mining with a filtering and validation process, using machine learning and human evaluation. The exercise identified over 240 weak (or early) signals from a variety of news articles, blogs and grey literature published in English between 2017 and 2021. The signals were aggregated into 24 closely related subsets, with each cluster hinting at a potential emerging issue (see image); Next, 21 representatives from civil society organisations, business, academia and government discussed these issues at a sense-making workshop in September 2021; Following the workshop, 10 emerging issues were prioritised for characterisation. The characterisation was based on desk research and 11 semi-structured interviews with experts in the field. The 10 selected emerging issues include developments in new foods, products, services, and business and governance models. These issues have often been enabled by existing technologies and new forms of local partnerships, involving a variety of engaged stakeholders. They vary in their degree of maturity and novelty: some are relatively new developments, while others lend new perspectives to known subjects. Moreover, some provide new combinations of existing elements, while others are niche practices beginning to filter into the mainstream: 1. Agroecology: a way of producing food and living, a science and a movement for change 2. Soulful soil: alternative methods for nutrient and pest management 3. The power of many: community-supported agriculture networks and initiatives 4. Food-growing cities: urban farming, integrated food policies and citizen involvement 5. Muscle-up: alternative protein sources for human consumption 6. Knowledge is power: ensuring traceability and informing consumers 7. Reclaiming retail: (re)connecting farmers with consumers and businesses 8. Procurement strategies supporting sustainable agricultural and fishing practices 9. Menu for change: restaurants feed appetite for sustainability 10. The gift that keeps on giving: upcycled foods and food into energy The research team was composed of experts from the following organizations: ISINNOVA Institutul de Prospectiva Austrian Institute of Technology Insight Foresight Institute Supported by The European Commission Harvesting change: Harnessing emerging technologies and innovations for agrifood system transformation FAO’s Office of Innovation worked with partners on an FAO Chief Scientist initiative on Foresight on emerging agrifood technologies and innovations, aligned with the UN 2.0 process and the FOFA 2022: engaging all key actors of agricultural innovation systems in the foresight on emerging technologies and innovations to better prepare for alternative futures, feeding it into anticipatory action, and convening the global community for constructive dialogue and knowledge exchange. The aim was to support policymakers, investors and innovation actors in their approaches and decision-making. The study assesses a selection of technologies and innovations, which potentially could be of paramount importance in addressing agrifood challenges until 2050, as well as the most important trends and drivers that will influence the emergence of agrifood technologies and innovations and their triggers of change, including some regional aspects. The goal is also to build plausible future scenarios for the evolvement of the emerging technologies and innovations in the future with the time horizon of 2050 to inform future-oriented policymaking. The report is built with inputs from a multistakeholder Delphi survey and online workshops with experts. Alexandrova-Stefanova, N., Nosarzewski, K., Mroczek, Z.K., Audouin, S., Djamen, P., Kolos, N. & Wan, J. 2023. Harvesting change: Harnessing emerging technologies and innovations for agrifood system transformation – Global foresight synthesis report. Rome. FAO and Cirad. Supported by The European Commission Long-Term Implications of the Digital Transition for Farmers and Rural Communities Project Successfully managing the green and digital transitions is a crucial factor that could increase the resilience and strategic autonomy of the EU and shape its future. Yet the digitalisation of agriculture and rural areas raises vital questions about winners and losers, costs, benefits, and long-term implications. European Commission’s foresight project coordinated by EU Policy Lab together with the Department for Agriculture and Rural Development (AGRI) in 2023-2024 explored the interplay between digital transition, policies and the resilience of the agricultural sector and rural areas, against the backdrop of potential disruptive and transformative changes. The digital transition will occur in a rapidly changing world faced with climate change, environmental degradation, geopolitical instability, shifting supply networks, and evolving consumer demand. This study's foresight scenarios suggest that digitalisation can catalyse transformation, aiding in coping with shocks, knowledge acquisition, community building, and system-related thinking. But at the same time, it can also reinforce inequalities and introduce rigidities. Therefore, digitalisation support should aim to create sustainable food systems and robust, connected, and prosperous rural areas and communities. A sound digital transition strategy should promote agricultural and rural resilience, green transition, digital citizenship for farmers and communities, and overall well-being. Digitalisation should uphold values like trust, equality, power, sovereignty, and care. Its execution should prioritise collaboration, accessibility, people-centric design, and circularity. Key enablers for a successful digital transition include capacity building for digital skills, fostering a robust digital ecosystem, investing in infrastructure and connectivity, and securing sufficient funding. Read the blog post to learn more about the project.Science for Policy Report Based on a participatory foresight process, the Digital transition: Long-term implications for EU farmers and rural communities - report presents the outcomes of this exploration, proposing building blocks for an effective EU digital transition strategy for agriculture and rural areas supported by a hands-on policymaker’s toolkit. Toolkit The toolkit can help decision makers engage in strategic conversations about the implications of digital transition for farmers and rural communities. The tookit includes questions and activities to inform a digital strategy for agriculture and rural areas.The toolkit can help to:Uncover key issues to reflect on when building a digitalisation vision and strategy.Engage stakeholders to develop or improve the existing digital strategy.Increase your anticipatory capacity and future-proof your digital transition strategy.Learn more and download the toolkit. Interactive Vision Framework The vision framework outlines the key elements that can support the digital transition of agriculture and rural areas.What is the purpose of digital transition from the perspectives of farmers and rural communities? Which values and principles should guide it? What are the enablers for the adoption and use of digital technologies? Explore the interactive Vision Framework TAGS You want to browse foresight content with a more specific topic? Use the tags to find exactly what you are looking for! Urban farming Vertical farming Agriculture Food Livestock Food security NEWS PROJECT Reimagining the Food System: scanning the horizon for emerging social innovations May 24, 2024 Blog PROJECT MOVING (Mountain Valorization through Interconnectedness and Green Growth) May 15, 2024 Blog PROJECT 4Growth project - Understanding the Market to Forecast Future Growth April 10, 2024 Blog PROJECT Harvesting change: Harnessing emerging technologies and innovations for agrifood system transformation February 26, 2024 Blog OUTPUTS Ich bin ein Textabschnitt. Klicke hier, um deinen eigenen Text hinzuzufügen und mich zu bearbeiten. Is Hydrogen that good for the Climate? Blog Albert Norström Download Memoiren MEET OTHER PEOPLE INTERESTED IN THE FIELD Name TITLE TITLE View on LinkedIn RELATED STORIES More Stories There are no stories for this topic yet. Be the first one to share! Submit your story 300 0 0 Slow mobility and green cities Anonymous There wouldn't be any cars in cities: only public transports and light transport means as bikes and scooters. With no need for car parking, there will be more spaces transformed in parks and gardens. With no need for large routes, all streets will be more green with trees and plant or vegetables containers. With less pollution, we will be able to eat fruits and aromatic plants grown in our own neighborhood. As teleworking will be the norm for some businesses, we will also be able to work from abroad time to time and this way enjoying longer stays and a slower way of travel. Using train will again be the norm; air plane will be limited to business and urgencies. 657 0 0 A happy centre (Ένα χαρούμενο κέντρο) Anonymous In 2040, the future of the traffic issue in Greece will differ. There will be more parks and gardens in the centre of cities and roads will have been reduced. The traffic will be in electric-powered cars, which will be available for hire so that every citizen can park their car and move with their rental car. The car parks will be located at the entrance to the city centre and will be available free of charge. The journey will be by electric bicycles, scooters and cars, and the money from the rental of electric vehicles will be used to maintain gardens and parks. Shops will operate easily and shop owners will use alternative energy sources for their shops. Citizens will work in decentralised businesses and the city centre will be at the moment of their day’s leisure with poles in gardens, parks, sports activities, public libraries, free chek up health for citizens, but also spaces with speeches on issues of concern to society at both economic, political and social level. The Communication will be an action and plastic packaging will be reduced by 80 %. Citizens will be able to feed themselves from the gardens located in the centre as there are tables and trees that produce fruit for all citizens. There will be no homeless fellow citizens because there will be shelters for them and will meet their needs in return for working in and maintaining them in the best way. This will also be productive and living in good conditions. With regard to technology everywhere, computers and mobile phones will be available so that at any time a citizen can contact abroad and be informed or working in a nature- and human-friendly environment. 1 1 ... 1 ... 1 FROM OUR FUTURES LITERACY DATABASE More about Futures Literacy There is no Future Literacy for this topic yet. Be the first one to share! Submit your Blogpost 1 2 3 4 5 1 ... 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 ... 100 RELATED EVENTS More about Events Special Exhibition: Science Fiction(s): If there were a tomorrow ​ Past Events Mutual Learning Exercise on R&I Foresight: Dissemination Event October 13, 2023 at 11:00:00 AM “Futures4Europe – a platform to connect Europe’s foresight community” - relaunch event May 24, 2023 at 9:30:00 AM HORIZON FUTURES WATCH WORKSHOP #3: Futures of science for policy in Europe: Scenarios and R&l policy implications June 28, 2023 at 11:00:00 AM Join our community! We are all citizens. Register here now and get involved in this community and maybe even share your theme related project. Sign Up

THEMES > Some Futures of Technology > Some Futures of Technology This image was generated with Dream Studio AI. Technological hypes are dynamic. Yesterday, the technological future was blockchain, today it's ChatGPT - and tomorrow? Here, we collect a wide range of technologies at different stages of the hype cycle and openly discuss their threats and opportunities. RELATED PROJECTS More Projects There are no related projects yet. Be the first one to share! Submit your project Supported by The European Commission Strategic Foresight for Sustainability (SF4S) SF4S is a collaborative action with partners from Higher Education institutions (HEIs), Vocational Education and Training (VET) providers, innovation networks and business entities from the Agri-food, Health and the Mobility sectors. Carried out between July 2022 - June 2025, SF4S supports our transition to a more sustainable European economy by helping to address the lack of green, digital and future (i.e. sustainability foresight) skills among students and professionals and by connecting knowledge flows between HEI, VET and industry actors that are necessary for Europe to develop cooperative solutions on a large-scale and support the recommendations for action in the major reports and initiatives: Green Deal, NextGenerationEU, European Skills Agenda and OECD Future of Education and Skills 2030. Partners Designskolen Kolding (coordinator) ISPIM HKMW GEA College IZT - Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment Finland Futures Research Centre Estonian Design Centre EDHEC Business School TalTech Airbus Region Midtjylland Nordic FoodTech VC Lufthansa Help Alliance CoModule North Estonia Medical Centre La Muu Michelin Peter Larsen Kaffe Supported by The European Commission RESCHAPE - Reshaping Supply Chains for a positive social impact As a result of the recent pandemic, global value chains have completely transformed. This has raised concerns over the ensuing social, economic and environmental trends and related impact on the way supply chains are organised. In this context, the EU-funded ReSChape project will analyse social, economic and environmental changes and disruptions, including the COVID-19 pandemic, and evaluate their impact on supply chains.New supply chain models will be proposed, aiming towards a more streamlined supply chain process to assure humans (workers, consumers and in general citizens) to be at the center of the business also thanks to new digital technologies. It will be studied how to assure a positive social impact and innovative policy scenarios will be developed with recommendations to support the future supply chains. Supported by The European Commission FORPOL From October 2022 to March 2023, we ran a forecasting tournament with a total of 54 questions. Almost all of our forecasting questions were developed in cooperation with 16 different public institutions and ministerial departments. Each institution or department defined its most useful forecasting topics, participated in a workshop to define specific questions with us, and was later provided with the results. This was intended as a proof of concept of one possible approach to incorporating forecasting in public decision-making. Once defined, our forecasting questions were then posted on a private Metaculus sub-domain (in Czech), where an average of 72 forecasters had the opportunity to address them as they would any other question on Metaculus (median of 18 predictions per user). Throughout the tournament, we produced 16 reports detailing the rationales and forecasts, to be used by the cooperating institutions. A handful of our partners have already reported acting on the information/judgment presented in our reports. This has concerned, for example, the national foreclosure issue (some 6% of the total population have debts in arrears) where the debt relief process is being redesigned midst strong lobbying and insufficient personal capacities; or the probabilities of outlier scenarios for European macroeconomic development, which was requested by the Slovak Ministry of Finance to help calibrate their existing judgements. It also seems useful to explore various approaches to grow the number of policymakers with personal experience & skills in forecasting. In our case, we found curiosity and willingness to try forecasting even in unexpected institutional locations (i.e. the Czech R&I funding body). This makes us more confident that the “external forecasts” approach (as compared to building internal prediction tournaments or focusing on advancing forecasting skills of public servants) is worth investigating further precisely because it allows us to detect and draw on this interest irrespective of institutional and seniority distinctions and resource constraints. While we hope that any readers with an interest in forecasting may find our experience useful, we expect that both this and any future projects of ours make it easier for other teams to work towards similar goals. To that effect, the write-up also contains an Annex of “Methodological Guidelines,” where we outline in more explicit terms the questions and decisions that we found were important to tackle when running the project, and what they may entail. Supported by The European Commission Futures of Big Tech Large R&D-based companies (Big Tech) have risen as major institutions driving technology, defining networks, shaping markets and influencing the ways we live. These companies are heavily concen-trated in some parts of the world, most of them within the West Coast of the United States, with a few emerging challengers in Mainland China, Taiwan and elsewhere. Other continents, including Europe, participate marginally in the development of the knowledge-bases which, apparently, may well come to dominate the future. Societies have come to rely on Big Tech from how we do business to how we consume and connect with others. And decision-makers, regulators and stakeholders grapple with breakthrough innovations, enhanced connectivity, lopsided competition and a number of ethical and political implications for how societies govern themselves. Organised societies face difficult choices. Should Big Tech be let free to carry on unimpeded? Should government break them up or try to tame them by imposing detailed standards of conduct? Should national and supra-national authorities aim at giving rise to new and alternative undertakings able to develop at far-reaching scale and scope? Or should policy actors give priority to an economic fabric full of smaller-sized enterprises that are alive and adaptive at the local level? As with many times in the past, the configuration of the present seems stiff and self-reinforcing. But a foresight perspective invites an awareness of the possibility of disruptions or genuine novelty in things to come. It is uncertain if current trends will be sustained over time or how they will be accommodated. Probing into the unknown can be inspiring and increase panoramic awareness. It also sets a base for being pro-active about destiny. Thus, studying the future(s) is a deliberation to be already being on the move. That is a productive, non-neutral and liberating attitude. A chance for aligning the possible with the desirable. This policy brief addresses the challenge of anticipating of what “Big Tech” will imply for the future of Europe. In our deep dive we project towards 2040 and explore the implications to Europe emphasising research and innovation policy. The scenario work, that comprises the bulk of this report, frames debates about industrial change and international political economy with the overarching vector of high-tech activities and offers a balancing, hopefully also piercing, view. We derive policy options for each scenario but also draw cross-cut-ting implications. Could tech-driven large companies be instruments for the European Union (EU) to respond effectively to the challenges of the future economy? Is this a viable, feasible option? Conversely, have foreign-owned Big Tech already won and will the EU be hostage to the tentacles of such sprawling giants? Can it adapt through bottom-up economic action? For all this, it was about time to tackle these pressing issues. The project is one of eight foresight deep dives of the project 'European R&I foresight and public engagement for Horizon Europe' carried out by the Foresight on Demand consortium. Supported by The European Commission GovTech Connect Welcome to the GovTech Connect Community! The GovTech Connect Community is a space where everyone can share their knowledge and experience to grow together. This Collection conveys the results of GovTech Connect’s studies, events and news, along with the interesting content from other communities related to GovTech in Europe. GovTech Connect will spread the word and share content about: GovTech market trends in Europe European GovTech initiatives Design thinking methodology and citizen engagement for GovTech solutions development. As part of these activities, GovTech Connect will see the launch of four European Boot camps to best prepare GovTech start-ups for collaboration with the public sector, as well as co-creative solution design with citizens. Webinars, workshops and other events will be occasions for networking and knowledge sharing. The activities will be carried out by a consortium led by Intellera Consulting, with partners PUBLIC, Lisbon Council and Politecnico di Milano. Supported by The European Commission S+T+Arts Science, technology and arts (STARTS for short) limn a nexus at which insightful observers have identified extraordinarily high potential for innovation. Supported by The European Commission Rapid Exploration: General AI This rapid exploration is part of the Foresight towards the 2nd Strategic Plan of Horizon Europe project. What if AI makes our lives much easier and people are used to the applications? What if AI is used for dull tasks, and human intelligence focuses on creativity? What if mobility is exclusively run by autonomous machines/vehicles? What if AI changed the way we understood “intelligence”? What if AI changed the way we organise schools/ education? What if AI changes how we think about knowledge and makes us all computer scientists? What if general AI challenges human decisions? What if AI decides? What if AI was used in (most) decision-making processes? What if AI goes further than we want? What if general AI decides that human life can be sacrificed in certain situations for the sake of the community or other species? How far can we get with Artificial Intelligence (AI) - here, meant as “machine learning”? Computers and supercomputers are extremely good at sequential calculations, calculating correlations and recognising patterns (machine learning, big data) where human capabilities fail. Nonetheless, complex decisions, emotional context and moral aspects are still out of scope for artificial intelligence. There are promises of next-generation, generalised AI (Artificial General Intelligence, AGI), opening up new possibilities for autonomous self-learning systems to be realised. What is the limit of control, and where is the limit of autonomy for these next-generation AI machines? What are the stakes and benefits for society, humanity and the world when including autonomous machines in daily lives (e.g. level 5 self-driving vehicles)? How can the development / AI be governed, and where is the limit if AI is autonomous? How can autonomous machines be trusted to act morally and how do they decide in ethical aspects? DRIVERS AND BARRIERS Massive computing and quantum computers are pushing forward machine learning and the development of general artificial intelligence. In addition, progress is made in systems containing sensors, actuators, and information processing. AI has proven to be useful in many practical applications, but it remains far from “understanding” or consciousness. Huge interest in AI comes from industry, economy, and military as “intelligent” robots could do work, assist humans, and even fight a war without shedding blood. Of course, this form of high tech promises high revenues for companies, and the supranational companies have the resources to finance the advances privately.Nonetheless, there are considerable concerns in society as well. One counter trend could be the “back to nature and frugality” movement, which might lead to the social divide being connected to the urban-rural nexus and the topic of “rising social confrontation”. A central issue is safeguarding security, safety and morality when the driver is the (human) competition? There is already ethical and philosophical discourse: what would be the right value-setting for artificial intelligence? Assuming that there is such a thing as general natural intelligence, what are the relationships between intelligence, morality and wisdom? Do we want general intelligence or general wisdom?What would happen when AI started training itself? This poses the question of control of AI. FUTURES Supported by The European Commission Deep Dive: Climate & Geo-Engineering This deep dive is part of the Foresight towards the 2nd Strategic Plan of Horizon Europe project. Climate change impacts are one of the main threats to human society and natural ecosystems. Even though natural dynamics also have a substantial effect on climate, there is no doubt that current alterations of climate with the correlated impacts are manmade. Alongside continuing efforts to reduce emissions and adapt to climate change, there may be possibilities to geoengineer climate systems to reduce or mask the impacts of climate change. There are also strong arguments for large-scale changes in social practices for adapting to and mitigating climate change. The big challenge comes with the necessary scale of interventions as those changes need to be large-scale and global, putting new challenges to all levels of governance from local to global. About this topic Many present drivers seem to indicate a gloomy future for the climate. The current individualistic mindsets drive overconsumption and overproduction. The offsetting of carbon emissions is sometimes used to compensate for dirty activities. Intense competition for natural resources is not safeguarding their sustainability. Bio-holistic worldviews confront anthropocentric views, but climate delay has emerged as the new denial and the lack of courage to address climate supremacists, i.e. the global wealthy, shows little change of direction. According to a 2020 report from Oxfam and the Stockholm Environment Institute, the wealthiest top 1% were responsible for 15% of global emissions, nearly twice as much as the world’s poorest 50%, who were responsible for just 7%. Overly optimistic beliefs in tech or social transformation to solve it prevail, and there is a wide reluctance to consider broad system change. There are also drivers towards desired futures. Improved understanding of climate and global change and the capacity and knowledge to purposefully shape nature and society provide better means to address climate change. Climate anxiety and perception of government inaction have triggered, for instance, the ‘Fridays for future’ movement, which contributes to the emergence of global conscience on the climate and biodiversity crisis and the need for justice. New understandings of human purpose and fairness also encourage the development of a wider range of responses like de-desertification, seaweed permaculture, ocean fertilization, carbon capture and storage, and solar radiation management. We may learn to protect the global commons, including indigenous cultures and atmospheric commons. Economic growth in societies based on individual material gain, here-and-now-thinking, short political cycles, and lack of broad political agreement on alternative paths seem to keep us on the path to the climate crisis. Furthermore, exacerbated social inequalities may lead many to have no willingness or ability to participate in transitions. While we are overconfident with systems’ design, we underestimate natural forces and ecosystems. Emerging options for large-scale ‘geoengineering’ interventions in the climate system promise new opportunities and new risks, including novel geopolitical tensions. There are diverse perceptions on geoengineering and possible social change towards potential acceptance or societal rejection. The planet lacks a fair and appropriate governance structure providing a framework on who might be entitled to carry out geoengineering projects in the name of the planet and what their responsibility is. There is no sufficient dialogue on what it means to be a responsible company, researcher, research organisation, or policy-maker in this context. Supported by The European Commission Deep Dive: Transhumanist Revolutions The twelve scenarios in this deep dive are informed by transhumanism, portraying futures in which the human condition – our bodies, functions, and lives – and the features of societies are fundamentally transformed by technology. Even though scenarios are built along the lines of particular scientific and/or technological advancements, the discussion spreads over sociotechnical ensembles and the re-conceptualization of the relationship between technology and society by 2040. The work leading to this report started with a horizon scanning exercise to identify a series of technological innovations and scientific breakthroughs that may be considered key factors towards re-engineering human nature. In parallel, the authors explored diverse narratives regarding the human condition and significance in the world, dreams and fears embodied in the so-called collective imaginary, echoing through myths and fantasies to literature, cinematography and the wider culture. At the intersection of these explorations, twelve topics were selected and further expanded into scenarios. They are not intended to cover the full spectrum of themes regarding human enhancement, but present a relevant ‘sample’ of potential future trajectories. We propose these narratives as exploratory scenarios, describing futures where both positive and negative consequences are palpable. They are not normative, outlininga vision of the future deemed desirable. We invite readers to regard them as devices for imagining the future and debating the future. They aim to nurture a reflection on the dynamics of change, future opportunities and potential threats, and in doing so they contribute to future preparedness. Three types of scenarios were developed: The first type describe futures where scientific and technological advancements enhance embodied experiences: Sensory augmentation: extending human senses beyond the natural limits and adding sensorial modalities which are not native to humans. Sensory and brain stimulation, psychedelic microdosing: inducing altered states of consciousness, for healing purposes or for fostering new perspectives on being human. Molecular therapies for delaying aging; and new artificial reproductive technologies allowing people to be fertile until much older age. The second type explore futures where human capabilities are extended by embodying non-biological means: a significant share of elderly people using exoskeletons for prolonging active life, for maintaining their mobility or as a form of assisted living; brain-computer interfaces leveraged in semi-automatized work environments, to improve learning outcomes, and to control smart devices; Brain to brain communication supporting cognitive and emotion sharing, leading to the creation of ‘hive minds’ covering multiple aspects of life. The third type focus on the simulation and replication of the human body and mind: Digital body twins allowing alert signals for disease prevention and the simulation of the short- and long-term effects of a person’s behavior on their health and body; Digital twins of the brain allowing testing hypotheses in cognitive science, in mental health studies, responses to different types of treatments; Digital immersive worlds – gaming/ fantasy worlds or ‘mirror worlds’ that are replicating real-life environments – hosting interactions among people and automated entities; Digital replicas of the deceased changing the socio-political understanding of grief; and Artificial agents with complex underlying computational procedures (including e.g. self-reflection, development of value system, affective computing) and sophisticated interfaces calling for new theoretical frameworks of consciousness. *** The twelve scenarios presented in the paper are part of the Foresight towards the 2nd Strategic Plan of Horizon Europe project, which was conducted by Foresight on Demand Consortium on behalf of the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Research and Innovation (DG RTD). Supported by The European Commission FUTURINNOV The FUTURINNOV project run by European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC) supports the European Innovation Council (EIC) in building strategic intelligence capacity through foresight and other anticipatory approaches. This is done through activities to identify funding priorities, inform programme design, contribute to policy feedback, and develop institutional governance. The main objectives are to:• Provide short and medium-term future-oriented evidence-based advice on signals and trends of emerging technologies, breakthrough innovation, and investment patterns;• Support the development of long-term EIC strategic intelligence, grounded in anticipatory, collective, and hybrid methods, towards knowledge transfer and capacity building; and• Explore innovative anticipatory thinking and future-oriented methodologies to support EIC in its mission as a funding body and a knowledge- provider for policy design and implementation. The project started in the beginning of the 2024 and will run until February 2025. Outputs of the FUTURINNOV project will include three literature reviews identifying and analysing signals of emerging technologies and breakthrough innovations as well as findings from horizon scanning workshops. Eyes on the Future: Volume 1 Eyes on the Future - Signals from recent reports on emerging technologies and breakthrough innovations to support European Innovation Council strategic intelligence - Volume 1 The report provides a literature review of publications authored by numerous external organisations. It summarises 34 signals and trends of emerging technologies and breakthrough innovations across the 11 primary categories of a taxonomy defined by the European Innovation Council (EIC). The authors investigate not only what is deemed most novel in multiple application domains but what is worth the attention of European Union (EU) policy audiences involved with priority-setting and decision-making.The literature review(1) reviews and evaluates 186 reports and articles on emerging technologies,(2) captures 489 signals, of which 86 have been short-listed and 34 selected for this report,(3) creates an internal database of signals which is used to digest and analyse the evolution of signals and novel technologies(4) connects signals with EIC portfolios and other European Commission (EC) initiatives such as policies surrounding critical technologies and Strategic Technologies for Europe Platform (STEP) investments that, together with the primary and secondary levels of the EIC taxonomy, provide multiple types of analysis and insights(5) draws conclusions that aim to support the EIC’s funding prioritisation and additionally, provide reflections on EIC portfolio setting. Read the reportRead some insights from the authors on the blog (Dis)Entangling the Future - Horizon scanning for emerging technologies and breakthrough innovations in the field of quantum technologies This report documents the process and findings of a horizon scanning exercise, part of a series under the FUTURINNOV. The workshop, held on 24 April 2024, had as its primary goal the evaluation and prioritisation of trends and signals on emerging technologies and breakthrough innovation, across all technology readiness levels (TRLs) and within the EIC's Quantum technologies portfolio. Signals for the workshop were gathered from experts, literature review, and text/data mining of patents, publications, and EU-funded projects. These signals were then scrutinised for their significance to the field's future by a diverse group of sector experts which led to the identification of nine key topics:quantum sensingquantum algorithms for lattice-based computational fluid dynamics modelsmaterials for quantumArtificial Intelligence for quantumerror correctionsolid-state scalabilityquantum for Artificial Intelligencequantum as a service – metacloudquantum computersFurthermore, the workshop identified additional wild cards with high novel-ty and disruptive potential such as quantum sensing AI on edge and molecular spin qubits. Participants also highlighted various factors that could influence the development, adoption, and promotion of these emerging technologies, which can be grouped under the following categories: technical advancements; investment and infrastructure support; cross-sector collaboration; regulatory navigation; talent acquisition; market maturity; and application utility. Read the report TAGS You want to browse foresight content with a more specific topic? Use the tags to find exactly what you are looking for! Innovation Brain Telecommunications Omics Blockchain Extended reality Digitalization Internet of Things Geoengineering technology Synthetic biology Quantum Genetic modification Cyber-physical Systems Virtual worlds Data New materials Big Tech Transhumanism Technological change Digital Artificial intelligence Automation Sensors Nano NEWS BLOG Foresight at EASST-4S 2024 Conference in Amsterdam September 30, 2024 Blog BLOG Join the Nordic Foresight Network Initiative September 4, 2024 Blog PROJECT FUTURINNOV June 19, 2024 Blog PROJECT Unleashing the Potential for Competitiveness: Trends in the Western Balkans June 5, 2024 Blog BLOG Shaping futures, story by story May 30, 2024 Blog OUTPUTS Ich bin ein Textabschnitt. Klicke hier, um deinen eigenen Text hinzuzufügen und mich zu bearbeiten. Is Hydrogen that good for the Climate? Blog Albert Norström Download Memoiren MEET OTHER PEOPLE INTERESTED IN THE FIELD Name TITLE TITLE View on LinkedIn RELATED STORIES More Stories There are no stories for this topic yet. Be the first one to share! Submit your story 1 2 3 4 5 1 ... 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 ... 100 FROM OUR FUTURES LITERACY DATABASE More about Futures Literacy There is no Future Literacy for this topic yet. Be the first one to share! Submit your Blogpost 798 0 0 Join the Nordic Foresight Network Initiative Maija Knutti This is a call for professionals working in foresight in the Nordic countries to join the discussion and to contribute and influence the development and formation of the Nordic Foresight Network. 8437 0 1 Futures of Big Tech Sandro Mendonça Big Tech is rewiring the world. These very large private companies are leaders in research and development (R&D) and now wield unprecedented and unparalleled influence in the economy and beyhond. In this redefined world, Europe faces a number of agenda-setting questions. This policy brief aims to anticipate the implications of ‘Big Tech’ for Europe’s future by 2040. 8238 0 0 From Sewing Machines to Fashion NFTs: Time Traveling through IPR in Creative Industries Giovanna Guiffrè & Valentina Malcotti CREATIVE IPR traces the history of intellectual property rights in Europe to investigate how past battles and future challenges in IPR management for creative industries impact creators, businesses and consumers 9073 0 0 Copyright Harmony to Unite in Diversity Giovanna Guiffrè & Valentina Malcotti ReCreating Europe re-thinks copyright codes and the management of creativity in the digital era by looking at the interplay between copyright, access to culture, and fair representation of creators and users. 1 2 1 ... 1 2 ... 2 RELATED EVENTS More about Events Special Exhibition: Science Fiction(s): If there were a tomorrow ​ Past Events Stories shape futures November 15, 2023 at 11:00:00 AM Decolonizing the future: a condition for survival in the anthropocene November 2, 2023 at 5:00:00 PM Futures of Big Tech: Policy Implications Workshop October 16, 2023 at 2:00:00 PM Join our community! 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