In this blog post - Hydrogen Economy in "Europe 2040", I raised the first set of questions relevant to our scenario process. Meanwhile, we had a series of interviews with our experts, drafted a list of influencing factors and defined the scope of the scenarios.
We collected the following list of factors:
Global
- Global power constellation
- Access to raw materials and other resources
- Global consumption patterns
- Global economic growth
- Role of the global south
- Impacts of climate change
- Global migration flows
- Openness and volume of global trade
- Geopolitical stability / Conflict and war
- Global Communication and Mobility Patterns
European Context & Policy
- European cohesion and role of European Commission
- Degree of autonomy & self-sufficiency of Europe
- Industrial and R&I policy
Economy
- Industrial production and energy demand
- Implementation of Circular Economy
- Emission Trading (EU ETS)
- Economic orientation and development
- Regionalisation of the economy
Society
- Values and sustainability of lifestyle
- Level of integration and inclusion; social equity/justice
- Degree of public engagement
Technology (except Hydrogen technology)
- Innovativeness and experimentation (from precautionary risk averse to risk-taking)
- Electrification of sectors / dependence on fuels
- The organisation of the energy systems (central vs regional)
- Role and advances of digital transformation
Which factors do you think are the most important for building the scenarios?
Take part in our small survey and learn more about the influencing factors: link
