In this blog post (https://www.futures4europe.eu/post/hydrogen-economy-in-europe-2040), I raised the first set of questions relevant to our scenario process. Meanwhile, we had a series of interviews with our experts, drafted a list of influencing factors and defined the scope of the scenarios.
We collected the following list of factors:
Global power constellation
Access to raw materials and other resources
Global consumption patterns
Global economic growth
Role of the global south
Impacts of climate change
Global migration flows
Openness and volume of global trade
Geopolitical stability / Conflict and war
Global Communication and Mobility Patterns
European cohesion and role of European Commission
Degree of autonomy & self-sufficiency of Europe
Industrial and R&I policy
Industrial production and energy demand
Implementation of Circular Economy
Emission Trading (EU ETS)
Economic orientation and development
Regionalisation of the economy
Values and sustainability of lifestyle
Level of integration and inclusion; social equity/justice
Degree of public engagement
Innovativeness and experimentation (from precautionary risk averse to risk-taking)
Electrification of sectors / dependence on fuels
The organisation of the energy systems (central vs regional)
Role and advances of digital transformation
Which factors do you think are the most important for building the scenarios?
Take part in our small survey and learn more about the influencing factors:
https://cloud.foresight-cockpit.de/#/survey/anonymous/Yn6LNdxPQLmw9shbIxzJxA?lang=EN